The NBA season in full swing and we have another great slate tonight! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
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The answer will remain Payne until he is priced appropriately. They brought his price up a good bit but not enough to warrant fading him still. The role is just too involved right now for him to fail. His AST% is just out of this world high right now with 44 assists in the last 4 games. He has scored 40+ DK points in 3 straight games and the role is not set to change. I think the only fear is a matchup against Miami isn't the best with them running at the 2nd slowest pace in the league. His bread and butter is more in the assist game and peripherals so I don't think pace really matters for him. Payne checks just about every box tonight so I am going to roll him out here.
UPDATE: Of course Booker is back. I am probably going to flex to Kevin Porter or down to Monte Morris.
High: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($10,200)
Mid: Kevin Porter Jr. ($6,300) or Monte Morris ($5,100)
Low: Devonte Graham ($3,900)
SG: Immanuel Quickley ($5,100)
The Knick's guard has been on an absolute tear lately, scoring 30, 43 and 47 DK points in his last 3 games. He has seen his minutes increase in each of the last 4 games and is now in the 30 minute range. The Knicks are thin at the guard spot so I doubt he sees his minutes come down. Now that Reddish is also out they really only have McBride, Burks, Fournier and Quickley to split 96 guard minutes. Barrett gets some guard run, but it is short spurts. Regardless, Quickley will need to score in bunches and has the only half decent defensive matchup tonight (Dinwiddie). I don't the price has adjusted enough to put him in a spot that he could fail. It is tough to trust Thibs sometimes, but I trust him with Quickley today.
High: Donovan Mitchell ($9,000) or CJ McCollum ($8,900)
Mid: Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,700) or Jalen Green ($5,700)
Low: Landry Shamet ($4,400) or Donte DiVincenzo ($4,700)
SF: Lebron James ($11,600)
Lebron is in a prime spot tonight and is fresh as well. He took what I think was a rest day the other day and gets a horrid Houston defense tonight. His last game was a massive 77 DK point outing with an insane 45% usage rate. I don't think that is going to happen again, but the matchup doesn't warrant that he needs to. Speaking of last games, Lebron's last game against Houston was also a 70+ DK point outing. I just don't see a guy on the Rockets that can stop him. Houston is dead last in defensive efficiency and 1st in pace. That screams massive fantasy production. I don't expect another record breaking night, but the upside and ceiling is there and he is in a great spot.
High: Jayson Tatum ($10,400)
Mid: Dorian Finney-Smith ($5,700) or Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,300)
Low: Royce O'Neale ($4,300)
PF: Marvin Bagley ($5,000)
I don't often say that a guy is a can't miss play, but I think that is what we have in Bagley tonight. Isaiah Stewart is set to be out the next week which should open up things for Bagley to start at C. If that is the case then I went every bit of him I can get. He has scored 32 and 40 DK points in the last two games and might see a boost in usage here. They are going to need to score to try to keep up with Chicago who also has a bottom 10 defensive efficiency this season. I think the big kicker is that he needs to draw the start but even if he doesn't I still think he is a great play.
High: Kyle Kuzma ($9,100)
Mid: Carmelo Anthony ($5,300) or Chris Boucher ($4,900)
Low: Naz Reid ($3,900)
C: Robert Williams ($7,100)
Charlotte sucks vs. Cs. I will no longer fade any C against Charlotte until they make a major change. Time Lord has scored 34+ DK points in 4 straight games with a ceiling of 42 DK points. I just don't see an avenue for him to fail here unless he gets injured. The minutes are too solid with 33+ minutes in each of those 4 games as well. His price is actually tolerable as well. Just look what Drummond did last night against Charlotte. He put up 48 DK points in just 24 minutes. Let's hope Williams can do that here or even beat that with more minutes.
High: Nikola Jokic ($12,600)
Mid: Rudy Gobert ($7,800) or Deandre Ayton ($7,300)
Low: Willy Hernangomez ($4,000) or Alperen Sengun ($5,100)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!