The NBA season in full swing and we have another great slate tonight! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
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We'll start off with a free space here. The Suns are without Paul, Booker and Cam Johnson here. Payne is on a tear anyways, scoring 39 and 46 DK points in the last two games. His usage could go even higher here which is wild to think. The matchup against ORL isn't a tough one at all so I fully expect Payne to go for 7-8x once again here. Don't cute and fade him. Just eat the chalk and move on.
High: Ja Morant ($10,700) or CJ McCollum ($9,100)
Mid: Malcolm Brogdon ($7,800) or Jrue Holiday ($7,600)
Low: Goran Dragic ($3,900)
SG: Cody Martin ($3,500)
This is definitely more of a GPP play but I think it could certainly pay off in a big way. Martin has gotten 30+ minutes in back to back games and put up 24 DK points in the last one. I don't expect the minutes to change here and the price is still bottom of the barrel. His last two games against BKN resulted in 24 and 26 DK points, giving me a good amount of confidence that he can get there again tonight. I think the icing on the cake is that he will probably draw a lot of Patty Mills who he has size on and Mills isn't a great defender anyways. He just opens up so much for you to get a few studs over just 1 and there is a decent upside as well.
High: Kyrie Irving ($10,000) or Terry Rozier ($8,200)
Mid: Jalen Suggs ($5,800)
Low: Cedi Osman ($4,500) or Amir Coffey ($3,600)
SF: Jae Crowder ($5,100)
I could probably copy and paste what I said about Payne and put it here. Crowder is likely to get in the 35 minutes range with solid usage. No Cam Johnson means Crowder will be asked to space out and hit 3's while also crashing the boards and getting his usual peripherals. I think this is a great spot for him against a big who doesn't space out much (Carter Jr.) so efficiency shouldn't be an issue. The Magic are in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency, but top 10 in pace. Those are the best teams to target so roll out Crowder with confidence.
High: Miles Bridges ($7,900)
Mid: Bruce Brown ($5,300) or Chuma Okeke ($5,300)
Low: Aaron Wiggins ($3,300) or Landry Shamet ($3,700)
PF: Kevin Durant ($11,100)
This is certainly a Durant smash spot if I have ever seen one. He is coming off of a 61 DK point game against a stingy Celtics defense. Now he gets a cupcake Hornets' defense that runs at a very fast pace and is bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. I could see this game certainly being the highest scoring on the slate and the Hornets are also not good against bigs. I think the only concern I have is that the Hornets actually have had a solid DvP against SF/PFs in the last two weeks, ranking 7th and 5th against the position in that time frame. For a guy like Durant that shouldn't really matter. He can go nuclear against just about any team and the game environment should be perfect for Durant.
High: Giannis Antetokounmpo ($12,000)
Mid: Kevin Love ($5,800) or Lauri Markkanen ($5,700)
Low: Nicolas Batum ($3,700)
C: Steven Adams ($6,300)
I think this is a very scary play for me with how many solid C options there are tonight. I think Adams is one that has a value ceiling some can't touch. He is coming off a massive 44 DK point game and gets to go up against his former team. His last 5 games against the Pels has been quite solid with scores of 37, 39, 40, 41 and 42 DK points. Adams is one of those guys that gets hot in spurts and his last game could be a telling sign of what is to come. I think the big fear is he can go really low when things don't go his way. I just think from a value perspective he could return the highest on the slate. If he scares you a bit then any of the Cs below will do just fine.
High: Evan Mobley ($7,000) or DeAndre Ayton ($6,600)
Mid: Jalen Smith ($5,600), PJ Washington ($5,400) or Isaiah Roby ($5,300)
Low: Willy Hernangomez ($3,700) or Nic Claxton ($3,200)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!