The NBA season in full swing and we have another great slate tonight! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
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If they are going to continue to give Satoransky 25+ minutes and the start then I am going to go with him. Especially on a small slate where he is a great value and has both G and F eligibility. He has scored 22 and 24 DK points in the last two games with minimal usage and only a few shots. He finally started to pick in up last game and was doing well with the peripherals. I think unless something opens up then there is a solid chance that Sato comes in as one of the better value plays on the slate. If he doesn't start then completely fade. It likely means they saw enough of Sato and will bring Neto back into the lineup and in that event I would pivot to him at just $3,600
High: Luka Doncic ($11,400) or Russell Westbrook ($8,800)
Mid: Jalen Brunson ($5,900)
Low: Raul Neto ($3,600)** or Killian Hayes ($3,900)
SG: Malik Monk ($5,200)
With no Lebron or Davis tonight Monk is going to be asked to take up a good amount of usage here. Monk has scored 32+ DK points in each of the last two games and those were with Lebron. At this price even with Lebron I think he is a good value but without there is a solid chance he hits his ceiling. The shots, usage and minutes are all there and he has been extremely solid without Lebron since early March. The only downside is the matchup against Dallas is not that good and the pace down nature for the Lakers is a large concern.
High: Zach Lavine ($8,200)
Mid: Deni Avdija ($5,100) or Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($5,500)
Low: Corey Kispert ($3,900)
SF: Kevin Durant ($11,300)
So there was a lot of back and forth for me on Durant vs. Giannis. I am siding with Durant because Giannis is in a massive pace down spot and he has both Middleton and Jrue to contend with. Durant is really just vying with Kyrie and he has a much Killian Hayes to deal with and he is only good for his defense. Durant should get plenty of usage, big minutes and should be able to destroy in the paint. The Pistons are bottom 10 in points in the paint allowed so Durant should be efficient there and his mid range game is money even against the best. His last game against Detroit was a 79 DK points barrage giving me a lot of confidence for what Durant can do tonight.
High: Cade Cunningham ($8,800)
Mid: Bruce Brown ($5,800)
Low: Reggie Bullock ($4,200) or Pat Connaughton ($4,000)
PF: Marvin Bagley ($5,600)
No Grant for the rest of the season and Bagley is eating up a ton of his minutes. The game itself has the highest implied total on the slate and the numbers for Bagley lately are amazing for the price you are paying. He has 37 DK points in each of the last two games in a similar situation that I don't think is going to change here. All in all, Bagley checks just about every box tonight as long as the game itself holds up to the hype.
High: Kristaps Porzingis ($8,500) or DeMar DeRozan ($8,300)
Mid: Carmelo Anthony ($4,600) or Robert Covington ($4,400)
Low: Wenyen Gabriel ($4,000)
C: Isaiah Hartenstein ($4,700)
I really think the Clippers need to change things up with their approach to defending Gobert because the last few games have not worked. Gobert has been putting Zubac through the ringer and it has led to them rolling out Hartenstein for big minutes. He has 28+ DK points in each of the last 3 meetings against UTA and in each of his last 3 games in general. His price is still fairly tolerable and I think you can get him at solid ownership. I have been going with him over the last few slates so I am going right back to the well with Hartenstein here. Until he fails me or the Clippers choose to funnel him out of the rotation he is a solid play.
High: Rudy Gobert ($7,300)
Mid: Isaiah Stewart ($5,000)
Low: Daniel Gafford ($3,400)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!