The NBA season in full swing and we have another great slate tonight! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
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Today is Grizzles' day so this is going to be short and sweet. Jones without Ja this season is a very solid producer and that is what we have tonight. The matchup is quite easy against Indiana who has been a bottom 5 defensive efficiency team this season and the Grizzles have the 2nd highest implied team total on the slate. Don't get cute here and just take what the slate is giving you. He is just way too cheap.
High: Devin Booker ($9,600)
Mid: Cole Anthony ($6,300)
Low: Markelle Fultz ($4,200)
SG: Dillon Brooks ($4,900)
I don't know why they left him this cheap. No Ja means the usage will be through the roof. It is a small slate so there really isn't much to work with anyways. Very similar to Tyus but I actually think the minutes are more secure and the usage will be higher. Roll him out with confidence.
High: Kyrie Irving ($10,200)
Mid: Desmond Bane ($6,700)
Low: RJ Hampton ($3,400)
SF: Kevin Durant ($11,100)
Durant has a cupcake matchup, has the highest ceiling on the slate and is fairly underpriced for the situation. He has scored 60 and 77 DK points in the last two games and could go even higher here as long as this one doesn't blow out. I am not concerned that Franz Wagner is a solid defender. He is still a rookie that Durant can easily exploit. They will do enough to get him into a favorable matchup that he can ball in. There is enough value to fit him in tonight so there is no reason not to.
High: Jimmy Butler ($8,600)
Mid: Bruce Brown Jr. ($5,200)
Low: Ziaire Williams ($3,200)
PF: Jaren Jackson Jr. ($6,500)
Another case where JJJ will see a massive usage boost without Morant and we have seen him put up massive without him. He is underpriced due to recent foul trouble, so if he can just limit that then the sky is the limit. Indiana is not a good defensive team especially in the paint with the 7th worst PF DvP over the last two weeks. For JJJ he just has to avoid the fouls and he will easily pay off the price tag. Just like Tyus and Dillon, just take what the slate is giving you when you have only 4 games.
High: Wendell Carter Jr. ($7,400)
Mid: Jalen Smith ($5,500)
Low: Markieff Morris ($3,000)
C: Goga Bitadze ($3,400)**
This is really the last piece of the puzzle I need to fall before I can probably set and forget my lineup. Goga has been an animal lately with 28+ DK points in 3 straight games. Those games have been spotty and he is questionable tonight, but if he is active and not limited he is a lock. You can't avoid that type of production and he is going to be needed to deal with Steven Adams. If he is out then Jalen Smith becomes a very nice value and so do the other guys below.
High: Bam Adebayo ($8,200)
Mid: Mo Bamba ($5,500)
Low: Nicolas Claxton ($3,900)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!