The NBA season in full swing and we have another great slate tonight! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
If you enjoy all of the content, there are multiple ways to show support! We have a Twitter and Discord Channel that you can join for up to the hour line up discussion and slate overviews! Also be sure to subscribe to our YouTube for our video breakdowns! Click the links below to join/follow!
For Premium Draftkings Cash/GPP lineups, contest selection, or PrizePick/SuperDraft lineups, be sure to sign-up for NBA Premium! For just $25/month or $10/week, it will provide you with our NBA Clipboard which should be everything you need to dominate this NBA Season! Sign-up today using promo code NBA2021 for 50% off your first month!
With the loss of Powell and PG/Kawhi already out, we are seeing Jackson in a very favorable role and the price just hasn't caught up yet. He got up 20+ shots last game and 48 DK points which is one of his season highs. I think this matchup is fit for him as well in a pace up spot against a team that is going to score a ton. They are likely to let Jackson get up a similar amount of shots as his last game and if he can be just as efficient (which the Curry matchup suggests) then there is definitely a ceiling possibility. He has been absolutely rolling as of late except for the 2 games against two of the better defensive teams in the league (MIL and MEM). I think Jackson can put a serious stat line tonight and be a great mid range play.
High: Dejounte Murray ($11,000) or Jrue Holiday ($7,800)
Mid: Coby White ($6,000) or Justise Winslow ($5,600)
Low: Ish Smith ($3,900) or Kemba Walker ($4,300)
SG: Quentin Grimes ($3,000)
How Grimes hasn't gotten priced up despite 31 and 37 minutes the last two games and 35 DK points last game is beyond me. This is a clear misprice and almost a free square tonight, so take what you can get. I don't see anything that would suggest he loses his starting spot or minutes. When there is a chance to get a 10x value guy, you take it. That is what Grimes is here. It is that simple.
High: Donovan Mitchell ($9,200)
Mid: Klay Thompson ($6,800) or Hamidou Diallo ($4,800)
Low: Corey Kispert ($4,100) or Raul Neto ($4,400)
SF: Kyle Kuzma ($8,600)
Without Dinwiddie, Beal and others, this has become Kuzma's team. He has scored 45+ DK points in back to back games with similar circumstances and an easier matchup against Detroit that is bottom 5 in the league in defensive efficiency. The usage rate as of late is just insane with a heavy emphasis on peripherals. He has accumulated 17 and 23 REB/AST/BLK/ST's over those two games which is well above his average. I think he has one of the safest floors on the slate that naturally doesn't have many pay up SF options. I think he is an easy fit into your lineups so I am going to go that direction.
High: Khris Middleton ($8,400)
Mid: Luke Dort ($6,200) or Aaron Gordon ($5,800)
Low: Terence Mann ($4,300) or Garrison Mathews ($4,400)
PF: DeMar DeRozan ($10,200)
DeRozan should honestly be more of a name in the MVP conversation with his play this season. As of late he has scored 47+ DK points in 10 straight games with multiple 54+ DK point performances in that span. With all of the value on the slate, he isn't too hard to get to and the game environment without LaVine should be heavily in his favor. The usage bump and normal minutes against a Spurs team that has been in the bottom half of the league for defensive efficiency as of late should equate to a big DFS night. I think Vuc is in a bit tougher of a spot against Poeltl who can play solid defense as well. This is a safe play with a solid upside in a good matchup. How much more could you ask for?
High: Julius Randle ($9,600)
Mid: Josh Hart ($6,300)
Low: Chuma Okeke ($4,300) or Rui Hachimura ($4,000)
C: Hassan Whiteside ($5,900)
In a matchup against the worst C defense in the league, Whiteside should be able to thrive in every facet of the game. He has scored 45 and 50 DK points in the last two games without Whiteside and should see the same number of minutes. His price hasn't fully adjusted yet which is what has me all over him here. I think most of the field will lock Drummond (who I also like) and move on, leaving just the UTIL for Whiteside. That could be a massive leverage play if his ownership actually comes in lower. All in all, he is the perfect GPP play with a massive upside at a pretty low price.
High: Nikola Jokic ($12,200)
Mid: Jonas Valanciunas ($7,700) or Andre Drummond ($5,500)
Low: Isaiah Roby ($3,000) or Thomas Bryant ($4,500)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!