The NBA season has been here, but today it is now December which means it's CHRISTMAS TIME! We have such an exciting season up ahead and plenty of opportunities to win some money! There are four key things I look for in a player to have the highest probability of being optimal!
These four statistics paired together are the best suitors to find a gem. Almost everyone I mention below hits on atleast 2 of these if not all of them! Hopefully this will help you be more successful while building lineups and give you a higher chance of winning the big bucks!
I would also like to note that I write these articles early in the day. It is always beneficial to check @FantasyLabsNBA for lineup changes. Those changes could have a direct effect on some of my "favorite plays" in the sense that if a cheap guy that was one of my favorites doesn't start, then they might no longer be a favorite play or even a play at all. Check out my Twitter @HeatingUpDFS for any updates on favorite play changes!
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On a small slate like this one, it can sometimes be hard to find good value plays at each position. I don't think you can say that about Schroder who is in a really good spot here. He gets to go against the Lakers who have had the 6th worst PG DvP over the last two weeks. Schroder is kind of on a heater, scoring 35 and 52 DK points in the last two games. As long as Jaylen Brown is once again out here, I think Schroder should start, get 30+ minutes, 25%+ usage and do a good amount of ball handling. The price also doesn't fully reflect his upside right now, so this is a no brainer for me with limited options to choose from. Even if Brown plays I still like him on what should be lowered ownership.
High: Luka Doncic ($10,900)
Mid: Derrick White ($6,200)
Low: Patty Mills ($4,800)
SG: Evan Fournier ($4,700)
In the current Knick's rotation, Fournier has carved out a solid role and is producing as well. He has gotten 30+ minutes in back to back games and has had 12+ shots in each of the last 6 games. At such a cheap price, you really don't need him to do much, but he has still been scoring well with 27+ DK points in each of the last two games as well. I think against the Spurs he should have an easier matchup with Dejounte Murray likely guarding their PG and not Fournier. He should be able to see a slight boost in usage because of that and push for a ceiling game here.
Mid: Derrick Rose ($5,100)
Low: Bryn Forbes ($3,100)
SF: Jayson Tatum ($9,400)
The fact that Tatum got priced down after a 50+ DK point performance and likely still no Brown is a bit of a joke. He is in line to be the top value on the slate for anyone over $7,000 and I don't think it is really close. The Lakers have been quite bad defensively this season and this is a massive pace up spot for Boston (LAL is 3rd in pace, BOS is 3rd). I fully expect Tatum to continue his 50+ streak here. He checks just about every box you could ask for.
High: Kevin Durant ($10,800)
Mid: RJ Barrett ($5,300)
Low: Doug McDermott ($4,000) or Lonnie Walker IV ($3,400)
PF: Julius Randle ($9,100)
I think my favorite thing about Randle here is the price. He has been heating back up, scoring 45+ DK points in three straight games, but the price has stayed fairly low. The Spurs are fairly solid against PF's, but I think the usage and volume should give Randle a very solid floor and he will probably be a bit lower owned compared to the other studs on the slate. I would definitely consider him more of a GPP play because there is some room for him to bust here, but just for the sake of being a bit different, I like Randle here a lot.
High: Kristaps Porzingis ($7,600) or Al Horford ($7,100)
Low: James Johnson ($3,200)
C: Jakob Poeltl ($5,900)
Poeltl's price went down despite scoring 28+ DK points in 7 straight games. He has such a high floor and I think against the Knicks, who have had the worst C DvP over the last two weeks, he can have a ceiling game here. He gets 30+ minutes, solid usage and is almost a double double machine. I think you just need to take what you can get here with Poeltl and look elsewhere for guys with higher ceilings.
High: Anthony Davis ($10,200)
Mid: LaMarcus Aldridge ($5,700)
Low: Dwight Howard ($3,800)
Thanks for reading, best of luck, and I hope you enjoy the holidays!